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Daily vs. Long-Term Trading in NEPSE: Which Investment Strategy Fits You Best?

Confused between daily trading and long-term investing in NEPSE? Discover the key differences, pros and cons, risk factors, and which approach suits your financial goals in Nepal’s stock market.

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Daily vs. Long-Term Trading in NEPSE: Which Investment Strategy Fits You Best?

Introduction: Navigating NEPSE as a Retail Investor

Nepal’s stock market—NEPSE—has seen a surge in retail participation, especially after the COVID-19 era. With mobile trading apps, increased financial awareness, and easier access to demat and MeroShare accounts, more Nepalis are entering the share market. But one question looms for every new and existing investor:

“Should I trade daily or invest for the long term in NEPSE?”

This article explores both strategies—daily trading and long-term investing—so you can make an informed decision tailored to your financial goals, risk appetite, and lifestyle.


What is Daily Trading?

Daily trading, often known as day trading or short-term trading, involves buying and selling stocks within short timeframes—ranging from minutes to days. The aim is to profit from short-term price fluctuations.

Key Features:

  • Trades executed within a day or week

  • Profit based on price volatility

  • Requires technical analysis and constant monitoring

  • Uses indicators like RSI, MACD, Moving Averages

Tools for Daily Traders:

  • NEPSE TMS Platform

  • Charting tools (e.g., TradingView NEPSE, ShareSansar TA)

  • Indicators: RSI >70 (overbought), RSI <30 (oversold)

  • News alert channels (bonus news, AGMs, etc.)

Popular Daily Trading Sectors in NEPSE:

  • Microfinance

  • Hydropower

  • Development Banks (D-CLASS)

  • Life and Non-Life Insurance


What is Long-Term Investing?

Long-term investing involves holding stocks for months or years, targeting value creation through dividends, capital appreciation, and company fundamentals.

Key Features:

  • Holding period: 6 months to several years

  • Profit from business growth, not short-term price action

  • Requires fundamental analysis (EPS, PE ratio, net worth)

  • Focus on sustainable sectors

Tools for Long-Term Investors:

  • Annual Reports

  • NRB monetary policies

  • Sector outlooks (Hydro policies, Banking regulations)

  • NEPSE 52-week high/low data

Popular Long-Term Investment Sectors:

  • Commercial Banking (Class A)

  • Blue-chip stocks (e.g., NABIL, NLIC)

  • Hydropower with strong fundamentals (e.g., HIDCL)

  • Insurance and Development Banks with steady earnings


Pros and Cons: Daily Trading vs. Long-Term Investing

Criteria

Daily Trading

Long-Term Investing

Time Requirement

High (Full-time or hourly monitoring)

Low (Periodic review)

Capital Requirement

Low to Moderate

Moderate to High

Risk Level

High (volatile swings)

Moderate to Low (depends on stocks)

Return Potential

Fast profits but inconsistent

Steady, compounding over time

Skill Required

Technical & emotional discipline

Patience & understanding of fundamentals

Tax Implications

Frequent capital gains

Lower long-term CGT if held beyond 365 days

Brokerage Fees

Higher due to frequent trades

Lower per annum


Case Study: NEPSE Traders vs Investors (2020–2024)

Example 1: Daily Trading

Stock: NRIC (Nepal Reinsurance Company)

  • March 2021: Spiked 40% in 3 days on bonus rumors

  • Traders who entered early exited with 25–30% profit

  • Those who held too long saw prices crash 35% after news fizzled

Example 2: Long-Term Investing

Stock: NABIL Bank

  • Jan 2020 to Jan 2024: Price grew steadily from NPR 800 to NPR 1,500

  • Bonus shares, dividends, and right shares compounded returns

  • Long-term holders earned over 100% including dividends


Who Should Choose Daily Trading?

Daily trading is suitable for:

  • Individuals with time to monitor markets daily

  • Risk-tolerant investors

  • Those with strong technical analysis skills

  • Young investors seeking short-term gains

✅ Ideal For:

  • University students with free hours

  • Tech-savvy professionals

  • Traders using tools like RSI, MACD, EMA crossovers

❌ Not Ideal For:

  • Emotional decision-makers

  • People with day jobs and limited screen time

  • Beginners unfamiliar with NEPSE volatility


Who Should Choose Long-Term Investing?

Long-term investing fits:

  • Salaried professionals, business owners, retirees

  • Investors aiming for wealth creation, not quick profits

  • Individuals focused on financial planning (child’s education, home buying)

✅ Ideal For:

  • SIP-style monthly investors

  • Dividend-seekers

  • Passive investors who don’t want to time the market

❌ Not Ideal For:

  • Those expecting instant profit

  • Investors with very short investment horizons


What About Hybrid Strategies?

Many smart investors blend both worlds:

  • Core Portfolio (80%): Long-term stocks like banks, insurance, hydropower

  • Satellite Portfolio (20%): Daily trades on volatile stocks or IPOs

Example Hybrid Approach:

  • Hold NLIC, NABIL, HIDCL for 3+ years

  • Actively trade SHPC, RHPC, or new IPOs for short-term gains


Risk Management: Key for Both Strategies

Regardless of your strategy:

  • Set stop-losses: Avoid panic selling or deep losses

  • Follow a trading plan: Don’t chase rumors blindly

  • Review your goals: Monthly for traders, quarterly for investors

  • Track your performance: Use Excel, MeroShare, or Trading Journals


Conclusion: Which One is Right for You?

There is no one-size-fits-all. Your best strategy depends on:

  • ✅ Your time availability

  • ✅ Risk tolerance

  • ✅ Market knowledge

  • ✅ Financial goals

If you’re just starting out in NEPSE, try paper trading or invest a small amount. Whether you choose to be a trader, investor—or both—the key is discipline, continuous learning, and adapting to Nepal’s evolving stock market environment.